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It’s been a rough morning for GBP, with economic data thwarting early attempts at a GBP recovery. BOE minutes, retail sales and public sector data all weighed on the pound, pushing it below 1.5100 – a key support level. Data details:
The pound has come under pressure after the weaker than expected inflation reading for April earlier this morning. Headline CPI fell to 2.4% (expectations were for a decline to 2.6%, from 2.8% in March). This is the lowest level since September 2012. But it was the sharp decline in core prices that was the most noteworthy part of the report. Core prices (which don’t include energy and food) fell to 2%, the lowest level since 2009, and, most importantly, bang on the Bank of England’s 2% target rate.
It’s been pretty slow-going today as economic data has been thin on the ground. Ranges in FX are fairly tight and stock markets are flat to fairly neutral. Currently US futures are pointing to a slightly lower open. But there are some important fundamental events this week that could impact the medium-term direction of markets.
Wie gestern beschrieben, zeigen sich erste, leichte Ermüdungsanzeichen im DAX. Damit steigt die Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass wir zumindest kurzfristig in eine Konsolidierung übergehen. Der DAX ist aber heute zunächst weiter gestiegen, und hat damit die 8.400er Marke erreicht. Es wird also spannend!
Wenn Sie sich den DAX-Kusverlauf der vergangenen Jahre und insbesondere die Rally seit dem Jahr 2009 anschauen, stellt sich natürlich die Frage, ob die Kurse tatsächlich noch weiter steigen können. Sind Aktien nicht vielleicht generell bereits überhitzt? Hat der DAX überhaupt noch Aufwärtspotential?
The rupee declined to 54.88 against the dollar on mild capital outflows and a weaker euro. The Indian unit opened marginally higher at 54.76 from yesterday’s close of 54.78 to the dollar on positive domestic and Asian equity markets. However, it recovered to 54.65 per dollar in the early trade on capital inflows and weakening of the dollar from a fresh 4-1/2 year high against the Japanese yen due to disappointing US industrial data. The Indian currency was trading at 54.87 per dollar at the Interbank Foreign Exchange market. However, the rupee is likely to trade positive on hopes of rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India in its next monetary policy review next month.
