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Ausblick auf GBPUSD für den 28.03.2013 10:40 - 1,5162
Dies ist der dritte Tag in Folge an dem das Britische Pfund einen Rückgang gegenüber dem US Dollar verzeichnet. Die wichtigsten Makroökonomischen Daten die heute in Großbritannien veröffentlich werden betreffen das GfK-Konsumklima welche voraussichtlich unverändert ist, die prognostizierten Hauspreise Landesweite (monatlich)- auch hier wird keine Veränderung erwartet. Produkt Index prognostiziert -0,2%, Bisher 0,1%.
EUR: There is talk of a ‘Plan B’ being presented by the President in Cyprus today so eyes will be firmly on events there. The market pricing remains hopeful for a compromise resolution, so potential for volatility remains high given that no deal today would mean taking things down to the wire once again.
GBP: It’s not over for sterling yet, with retail sales and public sector borrowing data released today. Stronger sales would help undermine the view that the UK is heading for a ‘triple-dip’ recession, thereby adding further support to GBPUSD above the 1.50 level.
EUR: Eurozone finance ministers are likely to meet today to discuss the options for Cyprus after yesterday’s rejection of the deposit tax levy. The ECB meeting also meets and headlines from here will be key to watch with respect of emergency liquidity assistance (ELA) to Cypriot banks.
EUR: For now, all eyes on the Cypriot parliament vote on the deposit levy, scheduled for 16:00 GMT, although it’s unlikely this time will be set in stone. Clearly, the hope is that we see at least some sort of adjustment to exclude deposits below a certain level. If seen, this would be modestly euro positive, but longer-term it’s down to how expectations of contagion are managed and how much other countries believe “this is a one off”.
FX: Scheduled data releases are of minor interest today. Focus is on events in Cyprus and on the vote in the Cypriot parliament later today (around 14:00 GMT) on the plan to tax bank deposits.